Inactive Hurricane Season Should Remain Inactive
So far, the 2014 hurricane season has been rather quiet and an updated long-range forecast that was released today says things should remain about the same.
Forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center raised the likelihood for a below-normal season in today’s update to the Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook. The update predicts a 70 percent chance of a below-normal hurricane season.
“We are more confident that a below-normal season will occur because atmospheric and oceanic conditions that suppress cyclone formation have developed and will persist through the season.” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, in a press release.
NOAA says overall atmospheric and oceanic conditions are not favorable for storm development. And, generally speaking, any tropical depressions or tropical storms that do form are less likely to become hurricanes. However, experts say to remain cautious as it only takes one land-falling storm to cause widespread damage.