NJ Voters Size Up the Presidential Frontrunners
Are you still trying to decide who you’ll cast your vote for in November's presidential election?
A new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University's (FDU) PublicMind finds many of New Jersey's registered voters have already formed strong opinions about the Democratic and Republican frontrunners.
“The Democratic nominee is likely going to win New Jersey, so Clinton bests Trump about 52 to 36, by about the same margin we expect any Democrat to beat any Republican (in New Jersey),” said Dan Cassino, a FDU political science professor and PublicMind poll analyst.
Interestingly, Clinton does no better than her Democratic challenger Bernie Sanders in the same match-up against Trump.
And while some Republicans want to see Trump end his bid for the White House, having him on the ballot doesn't seem to impact Republican chances in New Jersey.
“We just don’t find any evidence for that in New Jersey. He does about as well as other Republicans do,” Cassino said.
In fact, 77 percent of Republican voters indicate they would vote for Trump.
The bigger problem for Trump, according to Cassino, is the lack of support he has from conservatives.
Cassino said usually conservative voters are the most loyal in the American electorate, voting 80 to 90 percent for the Republican candidate, however, that’s not the case when it comes to Trump.
“Only 63 percent of conservatives in New Jersey say that they would vote for Trump over Hillary Clinton. Twenty-four percent of conservatives say they would vote for Hillary Clinton over Trump, and that’s a shocking number,” Cassino said. “That’s not something we’ve seen in the past.”
Cassino also said the poll finds white voters in New Jersey prefer Trump over Clinton, 47 to 40 percent, but Trump has virtually no support among minorities. In fact, non-white voters give Clinton a major edge over Trump, 77 to 13 percent.
"New Jersey has a very diverse population, and the fact that Trump does so poorly among non-white voters, really dooms Trump’s candidacy here,” Cassino said.
The poll also finds older voters prefer Clinton by a 48 to 40 margin, but younger voters like her better as well.
“Trump’s biggest supporters in New Jersey are actually in South Jersey, so in North Jersey and Central Jersey, Clinton wins pretty handily, but Trump actually wins in South Jersey, 44 to 42 over Clinton,” Cassino said.
When Jersey voters were asked in one word what they thought about Clinton and Trump, the answers were predictably bipolar, according to Cassino.
“When people were asked to describe Hillary Clinton, their most popular responses in New Jersey were 'liar,' 'dishonest', 'experienced,' 'strong' and 'good,'” he said.
Trump received some of the more interesting descriptions with the most popular terms to describe him being "arrogant," "idiot," "obnoxious," "good," and "bad."