NJ Weekend Warmup – Halloween Forecast Not Too Scary
There's something for everyone in the short-term forecast for the Garden State: cool, warm, sunny, cloudy, dry, and wet.
Here are your weather headlines for Friday, October 28, 2016...
Rain is done, here comes the sun
Thursday was quite the "yucky" weather day, with the season's inaugural taste of wintry weather in North Jersey and healthy rain for the rest of the state. The biggest rainfall observations totaled just over an inch, in the northern part of the state. Certainly welcome rainfall, but we still have a big year-to-date rainfall deficit to make up. 39% of the state presently falls into the Severe Drought category, as of the latest update of the U.S. Drought Monitor. We'll see if that improves as a result of Thursday's rain.
Meanwhile, your Friday forecast is looking drier and brighter. Skies are clearing Friday morning, and should become mostly sunny by midday at the latest. We will have to contend with an increased northwesterly wind, with gusts to 30+ mph. So it will be a bit blustery and cool through Friday afternoon, as high temperatures will be limited to the lower to mid 50s. That's about 5 to 10 degrees below normal for late October.
It'll be a seasonably chilly overnight across New Jersey, with lows averaging 40 degrees statewide. The coolest spots will fall into the 30s, with some frosty spots likely.
A "finger" of warmer air will reach into New Jersey this weekend on a stiff southwest breeze. That means temperatures will push well above normal for both Saturday and Sunday.
Saturday's forecast highs fall between 60 and 66 degrees. We'll enjoy a mix of sun and clouds overhead, with the aforementioned breeze to 20 mph. Overall, a pretty nice fall day.
Sunday pushes even warmer, with high temperatures between about 67 and 77 degrees. Certainly unseasonable warmth, but it doesn't look to be a record-breaker. Clouds will be a bit more prevalent on Sunday - somewhere between partly cloudy and mostly cloudy.
As New Jersey's next cold front New Jersey late-day Sunday, a bit of rain is expected. That is, if our atmosphere is moist enough to sustain such precipitation. Any rain on Sunday will be brief and light. Current timing places the raindrops in the late afternoon to evening. But admittedly, models have been all over the place with this rain forecast, so it's not set in stone yet.
Halloween forecast: Not scary
Following Sunday night's cold frontal passage, New Jersey's atmosphere will be reset with a cooler, drier air mass. That will leave us with a mostly sunny and dry Halloween forecast. However, temperatures will be on the cool side once again on Monday, topping out in the mid to upper 50s.
So, it's a fair weather forecast for trick-or-treaters across New Jersey. You might just have to wear an extra layer under the costume to stay warm, especially as the sun sets Monday evening.