No Cold Air In Sight for New Jersey
The calendar may say December, but it certainly hasn't felt like it yet - the unseasonable warmth will continue through at least early next week.
So far, every day of December has featured above-normal high temperatures in New Jersey. Although there will be a few hiccups over the next week (some clouds, a few sprinkles, and eventually a line of rain), our weather for the coming week looks great!
A chilly, frosty Wednesday morning will lead to a partly sunny and mild afternoon. High temperatures are forecast to end up in the lower 50s across the state. That's about 5 to 10 degrees above normal for early December, and a little bit warmer than Tuesday.
With clouds and a slight increase in humidity, Wednesday night won't be as cold as the past few overnights. Most lows will fall to the lower 40s. While a few spots may touch the 30s, a widespread frost or freeze is not expected.
As a (very) weak disturbance passes by early Thursday morning, we could see a few sprinkles or a light shower develop. The best chance for these raindrops will be in the northwest corner of the state. Each successive model run, however, emphasizes a pretty dry solution... so don't expect much.
As our wind shifts to a southwesterly direction, our warming trend will continue. Thursday's highs will reach the mid to upper 50s, and by Friday all of New Jersey should approach the 60 degree mark.
The models are showing mostly cloudy skies and light winds for the weekend, but the warm temperatures will continue. Highs will be in the lower to mid 60s for both Saturday and Sunday. There are even some indications that temperatures may push even higher, to near-record levels! But instead of popping out willy-nilly near 70 degree temperatures, I'm going to keep a reign on the forecast for now and stay on the conservative side for the weekend for now.
Our next big weather maker will be a cold front that slides across New Jersey on Monday. The GFS and Euro long-range models agree pretty well on the timing of this front and its associated precipitation - between about Noon and 10 p.m. Monday. This front will have some oomph, so pockets of heavy rain and even some embedded thunderstorms will be possible.
As you would guess, cooler air will arrive behind the frontal passage... But the current forecast high of 50 degrees on Tuesday is still above normal! A stronger cold front is progged for around next Thursday... And that one looks to bring a taste of some real December temperatures.