Warming Temperatures for the First Week of November in NJ
The Garden State will enjoy a warming trend through the middle of the week, with widespread 70s on the way - although rain may temporarily dampen the warmth.
Here are your weather headlines for Monday, November 2, 2015...
Mild Week Ahead
Welcome to the first weekday of November! Today's normal high temperature is about 60° and today's normal low is around 40°. It looks like for the first week of November, we will enjoy above normal temperatures, with just a few scattered clouds and rain chances.
Monday morning is starting off with patchy fog, and mostly cloudy skies for the southern half of the state. In fact, cloudiness will be pretty persistent today for South Jersey, as a storm system passes just to our south. While the bulk of this rainfall will stay well south of New Jersey, a stray shower could wander our way, in the vicinity of Cape May County. Anything that falls from the sky today will be isolated and light.
Meanwhile, the northern half of New Jersey should experience some welcome breaks of sunshine this afternoon. Throughout the state, high temperatures will be similar to yesterday, in the mid to upper 60s. (Exactly how warm the thermometer rises will be directly related to how thick the clouds are today.)
As skies clear by Tuesday, temperatures will respond with a nice increase. Highs will be around 70 degrees on Tuesday, and will bump into the lower to mid 70s on Wednesday. Light winds and sunny skies will make for a gorgeous pair of November days.
Stray Rain Chances
I already mentioned today's chance for an isolated shower in far South Jersey. There will be one more shot at light rain coming this workweek, on Thursday.
Models show scattered showers will move through New Jersey throughout the day on Thursday. While everyone in New Jersey looks prone to see at least some rain, precipitation totals across the board look light - about a quarter-inch at the most. Thursday should not be a washout, either... as we will hopefully see some breaks of sun along the way.
The combination of showers and occasional clouds will keep temperatures cooler on Thursday, with highs in the mid to upper 60s.
The Next Cooldown
We will see one more warm day on Friday, before the autumn chill resumes. In fact, I expect Friday to be the warmest day of the week, with highs ranging from 70° to 77°. Friday will likely be on the breezy side as well, with potential wind gusts to 25 or even 35 mph.
As a cold front arrives early Saturday morning, we'll add another chance of light showers to the forecast. The exact rainfall forecast will depend on the exact location and timing of impulses that ride northward along this front. Furthermore, if that front stalls just south of New Jersey, some light rain could linger into Sunday for southern and coastal New Jersey.
Meanwhile, the new cooler air mass will be slow to arrive, so Saturday's temperatures will remain pleasant and above normal, in the mid to upper 60s. By Sunday, the chilly air will be back, in full force. Forecast high temperatures for Sunday are only in the 52° to 58°, - definitively below normal, even by early November standards.