We're on the upside of a temperature roller coaster that will peak with heat, humidity, and possibly a few raindrops on Wednesday.

Here are your weather headlines for Tuesday, September 13, 2016...

Cool Mornings, Warm Afternoons

GFS model forecast high temperatures for Tuesday, showing lower 80s across New Jersey. (College of DuPage Meteorology)

Once again, a dose of ridiculously dry air is leading to some ridiculously gorgeous weather for New Jersey. Tuesday marks the second morning in a row where 50s dominated the temperature map. And plentiful sunshine will lead to high temperatures in the lower 80s for Tuesday afternoon. That is potentially a few degrees warmer than Monday, and a few degrees above normal for mid-September.

Tuesday evening will be picture-perfect, and the overnight will be comfortable too. However, low temperatures will be noticeably warmer for Wednesday morning. I think we'll miss out on widespread 50s, and end up in the lower to mid 60s. Still, not bad.

Summerlike, with Showers?

Wednesday looks to get even warmer, with statewide high temperatures in the 85 to 90 degree range. Yes, 90! That's actually within a few degrees of record highs for this time of year.

This relative heat and humidity won't last long though, as a cold front creeps toward New Jersey. A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible between 5 p.m. Wednesday and 5 a.m. Thursday. But these showers certainly will not be the drought-buster we desperately need - models continue to show a dry frontal passage for most of New Jersey. Pretty much a fizzle.


Behind the front, we'll enjoy a reinforcing shot of dry, cooler air. Skies will probably become clear and sunny by the time you wake up Thursday morning. High temperatures are expected to be seasonable and fall-like for both Thursday and Friday, in the mid 70s.

The extended forecast shows Saturday will be the better day of the weekend, with partly sunny skies and highs near 80. Our next storm system could provide a period of steady to heavy rain in the Sunday-Monday time frame.

In the Tropics

Tropical Storm Ian update from the National Hurricane Center, as of 5 a.m. Tuesday. (NOAA / NHC)

We continue to keep an eye on the tropical Atlantic Ocean for any development. Tropical Storm Ian became the ninth named storm of the year on Monday. It's way out in the middle of the Atlantic, and is expected to be a "fish storm," turning out to sea before even reaching Bermuda. Still, a foot or two of increased swell could travel over a thousand miles to the Jersey Shore. That might kick up some bigger waves for a time, but I'm not concerned about coastal flooding from Ian.

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